Our latest Conservative Progress poll finds big support for former Brexit campaigners and a unifier.


The latest in a series of online polls run by Conservative Progress have now been published. In this poll, respondents were again asked to pick their preferred candidate from a list of 13, as well as answering questions about the sort of profile and policies they'd like the next Conservative Party leader to have.




Leadership & Brexit survey results


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Respondents ranked Boris Johnson (by a big margin), Dominic Raab, James Cleverly and Jeremy Hunt as their preferred leadership candidate, while a number are still undecided.


Overall, respondents voted heavily in favour of:


. The next leader having served in the cabinet.


. The next leader having campaigned for Brexit in the 2016 referendum.


. The next leader having voted against a second referendum.


. The next leader having voted to keep no-deal on the table.


. The next leader has to be able to unify the party.


When asked specifically about what policy ideas respondents would like to see the next leader fix, they answered: Cutting crime, reducing immigration and addressing the housing crisis.



The number of votes cast by those identifying as Conservative Party members: 843


Note: This survey ran over one week, starting on Monday 13th May, closing Saturday 25th May. The survey asked users to provide an email address and to confirm whether they are a Conservative Party member by providing their constituency location. The survey was publicly available and shared on social media, as well as via email to registered Conservative Progress supporters.


Respondents were asked for their preference, the results are as follows:


Preferred candidate to be the next leader of the Conservative Party:


Amber Rudd: 0.7% Andrea Leadsom: 1.9% Boris Johnson: 41.2% Dominic Raab: 21.6% Esther McVey: 2.6% James Cleverly: 5.2% Jeremy Hunt: 5% Johnny Mercer: 1.9% Liz Truss: 2.6% Mark Harper: 0.1% Matt Hancock: 0.6% Michael Gove: 4.2% Penny Mordaunt: 1.9% Rory Stewart: 1.2% Sajid Javid: 3.8%

Don’t know: 5.5%

How important is it that the next leader of the Conservative Party has served in the cabinet?: 

  • It is not important for the next leader to have served in the cabinet: 50.9%

  • It is important for the next leader to have served in the cabinet, but not essential: 31.5%

  • It is very important for the next leader to have served in the cabinet: 12.2%

  • None of the above: 4.9%

  • Don't know: 0.5%


How important is it to you that the next leader of the Conservative Party campaigned to leave the European Union in the 2016 referendum?

  • It is very important that the next leader campaigned to leave the EU: 82.2%

  • It is important that they campaigned to leave the EU, but not essential: 10.3%

  • It is not important that the next leader campaigned to leave the EU: 5.9%

  • None of the above: 0.5%

  • Don't know: 1.1%


How important is it that the next leader voted against a second referendum? 


  • It is very important that the next leader voted against a second referendum: 89%

  • It is important that the next leader voted against a second referendum, but not essential: 5.2%

  • It is not important that the next leader voted against a second referendum: 3.6%

  • I will not vote for a leadership candidate that voted against a second referendum: 1.6%

  • None of the above: 0.4%

  • Don't know: 0.2%

Other than Brexit, what is most important issue that would determine whether or not you back a candidate to be leader?:


  • Cutting taxes: 13.6%

  • Solving the housing crisis: 11.4%

  • Controlling immigration: 33.3%

  • Fixing social care: 8.1%

  • A tough approach to reducing crime: 22.2%

  • Improving the NHS: 7.8%

  • Protecting the environment:  3.6%

How important is it that the next leader is able to unify the Conservative Party? :

  • It is very important that the next leader is able to unify the party: 47.2%

  • It is important that the next leader is able to unify the party, but not essential: 35.9%

  • It is not important for the next leader is able to unify the party: 10.7%

  • None of the above: 2.7%

  • Don't know: 3.5%

How important is it that the next leader voted to keep 'no deal' on the table?


  • It is very important the next leader voted to keep no deal on the table: 81.4%

  • It is important the next leader voted to keep no deal on the table, but not essential: 7.8%

  • It is not important for the next leader to have vote to keep no deal on the table: 4%

  • I will not support a leadership candidate that voted to take no deal off the table: 5.3%

  • Other: 1.5%


With a long campaign expected, we will run regular polls as the campaign progresses. As it appears the final competition will see two candidates presented to the party membership in a ballot, this contest will see rapid changes over the coming weeks.


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